Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.021758 0.023373 0.025056 0.026940 0.028994 0.031167 0.033643
2024-10-20 0.018674 0.020944 0.023430 0.026364 0.029741 0.033519 0.038082
2024-10-27 0.017060 0.019765 0.022845 0.026627 0.031170 0.036482 0.043205
2024-11-03 0.015739 0.018713 0.022203 0.026632 0.032141 0.038823 0.047621
2024-11-10 0.014852 0.018056 0.021918 0.026958 0.033425 0.041526 0.052578
2024-11-17 0.013829 0.017130 0.021199 0.026640 0.033807 0.043044 0.056041
2024-11-24 0.013041 0.016430 0.020694 0.026522 0.034388 0.044795 0.059870
2024-12-01 0.012255 0.015674 0.020053 0.026158 0.034581 0.045992 0.062968
2024-12-08 0.011722 0.015208 0.019753 0.026211 0.035313 0.047934 0.067209
2024-12-15 0.011097 0.014581 0.019194 0.025861 0.035439 0.049001 0.070214
2024-12-22 0.010476 0.013925 0.018555 0.025352 0.035288 0.049634 0.072575
2024-12-29 0.010002 0.013445 0.018132 0.025115 0.035504 0.050793 0.075790
2025-01-05 0.009549 0.012976 0.017704 0.024856 0.035677 0.051908 0.079038
2025-01-12 0.009035 0.012399 0.017096 0.024295 0.035359 0.052242 0.081040
2025-01-19 0.008797 0.012205 0.017025 0.024526 0.036254 0.054504 0.086356
2025-01-26 0.008511 0.011925 0.016814 0.024529 0.036785 0.056207 0.090838
2025-02-02 0.008326 0.011784 0.016799 0.024825 0.037788 0.058721 0.096894
2025-02-09 0.007997 0.011415 0.016423 0.024536 0.037823 0.059627 0.100159
2025-02-16 0.007735 0.011136 0.016172 0.024429 0.038144 0.061021 0.104392
2025-02-23 0.007435 0.010785 0.015795 0.024099 0.038071 0.061725 0.107390
2025-03-02 0.007243 0.010594 0.015657 0.024147 0.038634 0.063562 0.112646
2025-03-09 0.006976 0.010277 0.015307 0.023829 0.038549 0.064237 0.115705
2025-03-16 0.006691 0.009921 0.014882 0.023366 0.038185 0.064384 0.117723